Mach Basic K-Tipp, SI and Beobachter are in a neck-and-neck race, the Sunday market is saturated, and the business press continues to lose reach.Service: Long-term analysis of the daily and Sunday press as well as the regional free press in the
Article "Creeping development"
According to Wemf, the new readership figures show that 90.9 percent of the Swiss population read at least one newspaper more or less regularly and 93.1 percent read at least one magazine. These figures have remained stable since the year 2000, and for the first time, Mach Basic 2005, 2006-1 and 2006-2 provide three semi-annual reach studies. These were all surveyed over a twelve-month period, but were each delayed by six months. Mach Basic 2006-2 was conducted between April 12, 2005 and March 26, 2006.
It is astonishing that only around half of the securities in these three studies show continuous developments. Many in the 2006-1 evaluation experienced a more or less pronounced "interim high" or "interim low". This means that the current values are often similar to those of 2005. Although these intermediate highs and lows were always within the confidence interval, it is clear that with today's measurement methodology for print reach, more frequent publications alone do not provide greater accuracy. For this reason, in this analysis we concentrate primarily on a comparison of the 2006-2 values with 2005.
The trend in subscribed daily newspapers is largely stable: not a single major title shows significant changes in a half-year or year-on-year comparison. However, the new commuter newspapers in French-speaking Switzerland are starting to leave their mark.
Tagi remains in declineThe only major daily newspaper to make significant gains in German-speaking Switzerland is once again the free title 20 Minuten, primarily due to its expansion into St. Gallen (June 2005). However, the commuter paper has probably now reached its zenith in German-speaking Switzerland. It now remains to be seen whether it will be able to maintain this reach or whether it will even have to cede readers to the evening paper Heute and the free business daily Cash Daily - both from Ringier. Incidentally, 20 Minuten has hardly been able to do anything to the St. Galler Tagblatt - and nothing at all to the Neue Luzerner Zeitung.
The Mittelland Zeitung reports a strong increase of 60,000 readers, but beware, this is not a real "gain" but a clever marketing ploy that will only become reality in two days' time: On September 16, 2006, the Basellandschaftliche Zeitung (bz) will join the newspaper association, which is why the MZ has already had the bz readership added to its own reach.
The Tages-Anzeiger, on the other hand, continues to show a downward trend, with its net reach falling from 15.3 to 13.2 percent since 2000. The Berner Zeitung is also eroding: despite the integration of the Bund, growth in the Bernese Oberland and expansion in the canton of Solothurn, the title has lost a total of 10 percent of its readership since 2003 and is now slipping back below the 400,000 mark.
The Aargauer Zeitung, on the other hand, has made some gains, probably thanks to its new concept a year ago. The Basler Zeitung has recovered since its relaunch two years ago, and the Blick is also more stable than a year ago; the tabloid format has apparently been digested. The NZZ, on the other hand, has lost 19,000 readers. However, the Alte Tante has repeatedly reported gains and losses of this kind in recent years, but the title has remained stable in the long term.
Trend reversal for cashThere were no significant changes among the Sunday titles, and this market is probably now saturated. Last year, all titles were still up, NZZ am Sonntag even significantly so. Now trench warfare is beginning: the slight losses of two titles are showing up as gains for the third. What influence will the new regional Sonntagsblatt of Südostschweiz, which has been published since May, have on these three titles?
The trend in the business press is thought-provoking. Once again, this genre is losing contacts - continuously since 2000. This is true even without the methodologically incomparable decline in readership of Bilanz (see below). Stocks, on the other hand, is a clear loser; with 52,000 new readers, it is worse off than in 2002, when the young title was included in Mach Basic for the first time. Cash, on the other hand, has seen a turnaround: After two years of heavy losses, it is the only business title with a slight plus. However, it remains to be seen whether this will continue with Cash Daily.
It is exciting to see what is currently happening with the paid-for magazines with the highest reach: Although K-Tipp remains number one, it has lost 75,000 readers in just six months and is now only just ahead of Schweizer Illustrierte and Beobachter. The latter is also losing readers and image: for years it was ahead of SI, but now its reach has been significantly reduced and it has had to cede the silver medal to the Ringiertitel. SI also seems to have reached its zenith and is on the decline. It remains to be seen what effect SI Style, which has been on the market since March, will have.
Huge bloodletting DuFacts has managed to stabilize after heavy losses. However, there is still no turning point in sight for Das Beste from Reader's Digest: the monthly magazine is once again losing significant readership - including in French-speaking Switzerland. The cultural magazine Du is also experiencing massive problems, with its readership falling by 20 percent. On the other hand, there is joy among women's magazines: Joy is stealing readers away from Freundin and taking its place.
The performance of the left-wing WOZ is disappointing, falling below the psychologically important mark of 100,000 readers. The magazine, on the other hand, is growing, but only because it has also been enclosed with the Basler Zeitung and the Berner Zeitung since fall 2004. This is now taking full effect for the first time.
In French-speaking Switzerland, Tout compte fait deserves special mention: It has grown significantly within a year and now reaches almost 100,000 readers. And in Italian-speaking Switzerland, we will have to keep an eye on the association's magazine Touring: it is the only title in Ticino to have lost a significant number of readers - for the first time, but in German-speaking Switzerland the title has been experiencing a strong downward trend for some time.
Attention, area of trust! For the Mach Basic 2006-2
the resident population of Switzerland and the Principality of Liechtenstein aged 14 and over represents the basic population. This is a total of 5.8 million people. A total of 23,816 interviews were conducted for the study, including 17,178 in German-speaking Switzerland, 5534 in French-speaking Switzerland and 1104 in Ticino, but the results obtained from the sample are only valid for the population within a certain confidence interval. With a confidence level of 95.5 percent, the confidence interval in Mach Basic 2005 has the following maximum values: For the whole of Switzerland (including the Principality of Liechtenstein) plus/minus 0.7 percent, for the German language group plus/minus 0.8 percent, for the French language group plus/minus 1.4 percent and for the Italian language group plus/minus 3.0 percent.
Rhythm disturbances at the beginning of 2005
the business magazine Bilanz changed its publication frequency from monthly to fortnightly. Shortly before this, the circulation was adjusted and reduced by 19 percent. It was clear that these measures would leave their mark on the reach, which still amounted to 417,000 readers in 2004, and this was also communicated (even if the figures cannot be compared directly for methodological reasons). However, the result was lower than expected. In mid-May, publishing director Sandra Geiger was still expecting the reach of her title to fall to around 270,000 readers (WW 19/06). Now it is even 28,000 readers less. Nevertheless, she is "not shocked". "Yes, we misjudged," she admits frankly, but it is clear that the bottom has now been reached. "The subscription channel is growing slightly again, and we are already seeing an increase in circulation," she says. The reach will probably level off at around 250,000 readers. "That means six to seven readers per copy - a reasonable figure compared to the past, when we had 10 to 12 readers per copy," says Geiger.
At the parallel title in French-speaking Switzerland, Bilan (Edipresse), which made the same cadence change at the same time as Bilanz, reach is still eroding, but in the confidence range. Like Geiger, Théo Bouchat, Director of Edipresse, also speaks of a renewed increase in reach: "Mach Basic 2006-2 still paints a picture of the past."
Markus Knöpfli