"In the course of technological evolution, the internet is exploding into the real world. People will always be online and will have the opportunity to add a layer of digital content to reality in real time." This was the conclusion reached by trend researcher Daniel Bischoff at the 3rd Conference on Technology Outlook and IT Trends organized by Future Network at the University of Zurich on Tuesday, according to the press release. Bischoff believes that while mobile devices in particular currently enable a digital superimposition of reality via image recognition, web connections and display technologies, in future glasses, contact lenses or even tiny implants will also be used to project this additional information directly onto the human eye.
There is no shortage of ideas and visions, some of which have already been tested in pilot projects. In future, for example, it should be possible to simply stroll through the area when looking for an apartment. If you like a block of flats or a house, you can use the camera on your cell phone to point at the property. The additional digital level provides information on available apartments and also provides information on the rental price and landlord contact. The Android development Layar is already experimenting with links to existing platforms and user-generated content such as Wikipedia, Flickr or the local Google search.
Revolutionary turning point in technological development
Completely new game concepts are conceivable for the gaming industry thanks to virtual overlays of the real world. And traditional print media could benefit if the physical product offers additional virtual information and 3D graphics when viewed via a cell phone or laptop camera. "This development will result in completely new business models, as people will always be prepared to pay money for relevant information," says Bischoff in an interview with Pressetext. The direction of this technological and content-related evolution is already clearly emerging. According to Bischoff, however, it is difficult to predict in detail which business idea will actually be crowned with success by 2020.
"We are currently experiencing a revolutionary turning point in technological development," emphasizes Moshe Rappoport from IBM Research. The convergence of various developments in hardware and software as well as the strong integration of social components - keyword social networks and user-generated content - is creating a digital aha effect of unimagined proportions. "Just a few years ago, computer scientists, academics and business people were the main users of computers, but now the overwhelming majority are private users of computers, cell phones and other technological devices. Unlike in the past, IT today must therefore define itself by the fact that it makes our everyday lives significantly easier and solves global problems," says Rappoport in an interview with Pressetext.
In order for a large number of private users to benefit from the technological achievements, developers still have a lot to learn, especially when it comes to intuitive usability and a simple user interface, criticizes Rappoport. It is annoying, for example, when Swiss train passengers miss their connection because the user interface of the electronic ticket machine is too complicated. Rappoport attributes the success of the iPhone to the fact that it can be used in a playful way by both young people who have grown up digitally and the older generation - the so-called "digital immigrants".
Rostock University Professor Clemens Cap, on the other hand, warned of a potential disaster caused by the misuse of private information and personal data: "With all the great opportunities that technological developments are opening up for private users, but also in business, we must also ask ourselves certain ethical questions." When people are increasingly integrated into the digital world via technical aids, including implantable RFID chips, and feed personal information into it, this naturally pushes boundaries that inevitably lead to protests, says Cap.
Distinguishing relevant from irrelevant data
In view of such dangers and the fact that mobile devices in combination with mobile data packages are the driving force behind current technological developments, Austrian carrier equipment supplier Kapsch CarrierCom believes that telecommunications providers have an advantage. "Compared to many internet portals, the telcos enjoy far higher trust ratings. This could give them a more important role in the future when it comes to storing and managing sensitive online user data," emphasized Engelbert Kerschbaummayr, Director Customer Solution Management at Kapsch, at the Zurich conference.
The IT experts also identified the associated flood of data as a further problem of rapid digital development. "The new word creations petabyte, exabyte and zettabyte already prove that we have a problem. According to an IDC study, the total amount of data generated will increase to 1.8 zettabytes - around 1.8 billion terabytes - by 2011, while the available storage space will fall to around 50 percent," explains André Golliez, President of the Swiss Informatics Society. "Companies are therefore well advised to develop a plan now on how to distinguish relevant from irrelevant data and how to tackle the long-term storage and archiving of important data."