Mach Basic The downward trend in cinema admissions continues - suddenly at a rapid pace. For the first time in six months, the Wemf figures show a significant decline (see table at the bottom of the page).
The reach figures presented by Wemf in Mach Basic 2007-2 for the medium of cinema must give the industry food for thought. Not only has the total weekly audience of 384,000 people fallen below the psychologically important 400,000 mark, but the reach has also really collapsed for the first time - within just six months it has fallen by 40,000 people per week. Calculated over a year, i.e. for the survey period from April 2006 to March 2007, Wemf thus reports a total of 20 million visitors, compared with a good 2 million more in Mach Basic 2006-1 (September 2005 to August 2006). The number of visitors therefore fell by a significant 9.4 percent. Compared to Mach Basic 2006-2, the drop is almost 12 percent. Since the changeover to the LpA value in 2000, cinema admissions had fallen by no more than 4.5 percent, even in year-round increments. If one also compares the new figures with the previous peak year of 2003, the medium of cinema has lost 5.3 million viewers or a whole fifth of its former audience throughout Switzerland.
Uniformly gloomy pictureThe waning interest is evident in all parts of the country, but the decline compared to 2007-1 is only significant in German-speaking Switzerland. In French-speaking Switzerland, on the other hand, it is comparatively moderate at minus 3.3 percent. Broken down to the centers, the picture is by and large the same bleak as at national level. The development in Eastern Switzerland and Lucerne is impressive, with cinemas losing 28% and 15% of their reach respectively compared to 2007-1. Although these changes are still all within the confidence range, there is nothing more to interpret here either: At least in a multi-year comparison, Lucerne is the first individual region to show a significant decline: In central Switzerland, where the third oldest Swiss multiplex cinema is located, only half as many people go to the movies today as in 2004.
The situation is only positive in Basel and Lugano, where visitor numbers remain stable or are even trending slightly upwards. The trend reversal in Basel, where figures were previously in sharp decline, can probably be attributed to the opening of the Pathé Küchlin multiplex last November, although only a small proportion of its visitor figures are included in the current study. It remains to be seen how long this trend on the Rhine knee will last. However, experience in other regions with large cinemas shows that even multiplex cinemas do not really make a sustainable contribution to supporting cinema attendance.
Young people are staying awayThe trend among young people is even more dramatic than in terms of general reach. Since 2004, a third of 14 to 24-year-olds have turned their backs on the cinema - at the language region level, the drop is at least 30 percent everywhere. This loss is significant - and measured against the peak year of 2003, it would be even more pronounced. Although the decline is slightly less pronounced among 14 to 34-year-olds, 27% fewer of this age group are now going to the cinema than three years ago.
And yet there is a very slight glimmer of hope: despite a general decline in reach, it is no longer young people who are mainly running away from the cinema. Their share of moviegoers is stable or even increasing again. Today, 52% of moviegoers are between 14 and 34 years old - the same as a year ago. The proportion of 14 to 24-year-olds is 29%, compared to 28% a year ago. Whether this is an effect of the multiplex cinemas remains to be seen.
Markus Knöpfli
Wemf does not charge for adult movie theatersSince July 1
PubliGroup subsidiary Cinecom also markets cinema advertising in eleven erotic cinemas with a total of 23 screens in six cities (Zurich, Basel, Berne, Fribourg, Lausanne, Geneva). In this way, "over 450,000 predominantly male visitors aged 18 and over" can be reached each year, writes Cinecom.
not from Wemf, as it does not currently collect data on the reach of adult movie theaters. This is confirmed by Wemf spokesperson Carine Lins. "We have not yet received an order from Cinecom," says Lins. It is therefore clear that the reach of adult cinemas will not be included in Mach Basic 2009-1 at the earliest - if at all. This is because there would be a risk that respondents would conceal their visits to adult movie theaters. "In any case, we would first have to test whether the reach of this cinema sector could be reliably surveyed," says Lins. (mk)Erosion of cinema magazinesDwindling interest
The decline in the medium of cinema is also reflected in the falling reach of free movie magazines. Since 2004, their contacts have fallen from a total of 750,000 per month to 645,000 (-14%). The readership figures for the two Swiss-German monthly magazines Close-up and Film demnächst have now converged: the former has increased slightly since 2004 and now has 191,000 readers, while the latter has lost a significant 20 percent of its readership in the same period and still reaches 204,000 people. A significant loss in reach
The French-speaking Swiss magazine Live, which had 125,000 readers in 2004 and now has 75,000. The magazine was discontinued three weeks ago (see WW 29/07). Its place has now been taken by Avant Première from the same publishing house, which could certainly do with a boost in readership: For the time being, it has 175,000 readers, compared to 193,000 in better times. (mk)Mach Basic supplementDetailed analysis of the new Mach Basic
can be found in the special edition of Media Trend Journal, which is enclosed with this issue of Werbewoche. Additional copies can be obtained from the publisher. Telephone 044 724 78 50 or e-mail
[email protected].